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Alarmed by Power Crisis in Northern Norway: "A Predicted Catastrophe"

The Sydvaranger mine in Kirkenes close to the Russian border was once Norway's largest mine and is considered Europe's third largest iron ore mine.

The State halts new power reservations in Northern Norway and cuts the consumption limit in Eastern Finnmark. This puts development on hold and creates acute pressure on the business sector in the region.

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The fear of a power collapse prompted the state owned operator of the Norwegian energy system, Statnett, to sound the alarm last week. The company announced a temporary halt to reservations for grid capacity for new large industrial projects north of Svartisen in Nordland, Northern Norway.

This means that businesses that have not already reserved power must prepare for an indefinite queue.

"This is one of the worst things Northern Norway has experienced in decades", says CEO of Northern Norwegian Energy group Nordkraft, Eirik Frantzen, to NRK.

Expecting a sharp increase

The background is a sharp increase in expected power consumption, particularly from the seafood industry, transport, and the military.

Statnett estimates that consumption in the region will increase by about 60 percent over the next ten years, which may exceed what the current power system can deliver.

Without new power production, more electricity must be transported in, creating bottlenecks both from Helgeland in the Norwegian Arctic, and Sweden.

Projects that have already been allocated capacity will retain it. However, around 30 industrial projects in the north are still queueing up, and even if capacity becomes available, it will not be allocated to others in the current situation.

Power status in the north

Today's consumption from Salten and northwards: approx. 1500 MW.

Planned growth: Statnett facilitates around a 60 percent increase in maximum consumption.

Reserved capacity for new consumption: 1150 MW.

Projects in queue: approx. 1100 MW.

1 MW: Consumption equivalent to a small industrial company, larger school, public building or 300-400 households.

5 MW: Typical for larger industrial companies, land-based fish farms, shore power for cruise ships or 1500-2000 households.

Source: Statnett

In Eastern Finnmark, close to the Russian border to Norway, the situation is even more dramatic.

There, Statnett is reducing the limit for normal consumption from five to one megawatt (MW), as the grid is fully utilised and cannot withstand more load without the risk of overload and power outages.

"Capacity is reserved for an increase in consumption of around 30 MW. We have to expect this to be quickly utilised. To maintain supply security for existing and new customers, and to have the opportunity to perform necessary maintenance, we are now lowering the limit for normal consumption", says Anne Sofie Ravndal Risnes, director of regional plans at Statnett, in a press release.

This has consequences for the local business community in Sør-Varanger Municipality, Estern Finnmark.

We are deprived of the opportunity to do what is expected from an environmental perspective.

Thomas Bækø, Sydvaranger Mine

Environmental footprint

One of the companies facing the consequences is mining company Sydvaranger Mine in Kirkenes, Finnmark, which has ambitions to electrify the entire production. However, the lack of electricity has been a well known fact for a long time.

"This is nothing new. We received the same message in 2022, that there is no more electricity", says operations manager at Sydvaranger Mine, Thomas Bækø to High North News.

Sydvaranger Mine has enough power to start production, but lacks the power needed to electrify the operation. Thus, the machinery must still run on fossil fuels.

"We can operate the exact same volume of ore without electricity, the difference is the environmental footprint. We are deprived of the opportunity to do what is expected from an environmental perspective."

He describes the situation like this:

"We're going ass first into the future.  We have to buy mining equipment worth billions that is not electric, and it locks us in for many years to come. It is not realistic to replace the equipment until its lifespan ends", he explains.

Thomas Bækø, operations manager at Sydvaranger Mine.

"Predicted catastrophe"

Last week, local businesses and public actors met to discuss the power situation. Sydvaranger Mine received an updated timeline for when new capacity might be in place.

"We long believed this was about the 420 kV line (Statnett is expanding the 420 kV main grid in Finnmark to increase security of supply and facilitate new industry. Red. note), and that we could get more power at the earliest in 2032. Now we have to wait until 2040. That is an eight-year delay from what was initially communicated.

Bækø emphasises that the mining operations will continue, and expects a start in early 2027. But he believes the consequences for the rest of the region are far more serious.

"It is a critical situation for new projects and companies interested in establishing themselves in Kirkenes. One megawatt is not enough to heat and service a modern facility. The situation locks all of Eastern Finnmark. It's checkmate."

He objects to the situation being described as an "emerging power crisis".

"Companies and individuals have done what they were told for three decades, by electrifying society. This is a predicted catastrophe, and I don't buy those arguments."

A former cornerstone company

Sydvaranger mine was in operation from 1910 until the first bankruptcy in 1997. During this period, over 200 million tonnes of iron ore were produced.

The towns of Kirkenes and Bjørnevatn in Northern Norway were built up around the mining activity.

In 2009, operations resumed until the bankruptcy in 2015, due to a weaker iron ore market.

In April 2016, the Tschudi Group purchased 100 percent of the Sydvaranger project. All equipment necessary for a future restart of operations and processing was retained and regularly maintained.

In 2023, the Swedish mineral development company Grangex acquired the company, with the aim of resuming production in line with its sustainable mining strategy.

Production is planned to be underway from the start of 2027, with around 450 employees.

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